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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $121.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $219.4KEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
27.5¢
Philadelphia Phillies
72.5¢
New York Mets
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:62 trades$98.7K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 42s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $5.4K net·8 wallets(2🐋)·$56.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$26.7K@ 50¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

New York Mets pressure: $28.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$28.3K
6h
−$52.2K
tracked
$98.7K

8 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $5.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 50

Since latest large flow: +20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 20.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from New York Mets or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-25 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for September 18 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY New York Mets@ 53.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 48.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Philadelphia Phillies DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $313 → $3.6K · 36s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor New York Mets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Mets · $28.3K
6hNew York Mets · $52.2K
24hNew York Mets · $25.5K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. New York Mets fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current27.5¢
VWAP 24h41.4¢▼ below by 13.9pp
VWAP 7d41.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$26.7K
45¢
$30.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$9.7K
30¢
$930
25¢
← now
$31.4K
20¢
$1
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Mets$13.0K@ 71.0¢
VibeDoter0xe4a7…dc87
🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYNew York Mets$15.4K@ 51.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$26.7K@ 50.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Philadelphia Phillies$26.7K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026New York Mets$15.4K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
VibeDoterNew York Mets$13.0K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.