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Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Klim Sani4 - Game 2 Winner

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $109.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $165.2KEvent: Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Klim Sani4 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
99.9¢
Dawn Bulls
1.0¢
Klim Sani4
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets7Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:152 trades$37.5K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Klim Sani4 · $563 net·13 wallets·$8.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKlim Sani4$5.4K@ 67¢·0xf3ce…a57a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Klim Sani4 pressure: $4.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.6K
6h
−$19.2K
tracked
$37.5K

13 verified profitable wallets: Klim Sani4 · $563 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Klim Sani4 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win Game 2 against Klim Sani4.

•This market will resolve to "Klim Sani4" if Klim Sani4 win Game 2 against Dawn Bulls.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 2 match between Dawn Bulls and Klim Sani4 in the BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win Game 2 against Klim Sani4. This market will resolve to "Klim Sani4" if Klim Sani4 win Game 2 against Dawn Bulls. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 13, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xbfab…f0672 linked markets · $9.9K gross
okalright2 linked markets · $4.6K gross
hff.2 linked markets · $3.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Dawn Bulls UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $32 → $561 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dawn Bulls; negative values favor Klim Sani4. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKlim Sani4 · $4.6K
6hKlim Sani4 · $19.2K
24hKlim Sani4 · $19.2K

Dawn Bulls price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dawn Bulls price. Klim Sani4 fills are converted to the complementary Dawn Bulls probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h64.9¢▲ above by 35.0pp
VWAP 7d64.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dawn Bulls price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.0K
90¢
$343
85¢
$1.3K
80¢
$1.0K
75¢
$605
70¢
$2.3K
65¢
$0
60¢
$211
55¢
$1.5K
50¢
$2.4K
45¢
$794
40¢
$760
35¢
$17
30¢
$11.0K
25¢
$1.8K
20¢
$15
15¢
$500
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.