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UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $42.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $7.2KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
37.5¢
Christian Edwards
62.5¢
Rodolfo Bellato
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$12.4K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChristian Edwards$9.6K@ 37¢·Flipadelphia

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Christian Edwards pressure: $1.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.9K
6h
+$11.7K
tracked
$12.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: Rodolfo Bellato · $13.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 45

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 11h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Christian Edwards or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Christian Edwards" if Christian Edwards is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rodolfo Bellato at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Rodolfo Bellato" if Rodolfo Bellato is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Christian Edwards" if Christian Edwards is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rodolfo Bellato at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Rodolfo Bellato" if Rodolfo Bellato is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Christian Edwards; negative values favor Rodolfo Bellato. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChristian Edwards · $1.9K
6hChristian Edwards · $11.7K
24hChristian Edwards · $12.4K

Christian Edwards price VWAP

Volume-weighted Christian Edwards price. Rodolfo Bellato fills are converted to the complementary Christian Edwards probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.5¢
VWAP 24h37.2¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d36.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Christian Edwards price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$25.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cRodolfo Bellato$13.5K
BUY VWAP 63.3¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.