PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Tiburon: Roger Pascual Ferra vs Li Tu

Sports→Settlement: Roger Pascual FerraLiquidity: $101.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $19.2KEvent: Tiburon: Roger Pascual Ferra vs Li Tu
100.0¢
Roger Pascual Ferra payout
0.0¢
Li Tu payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:15 trades$40.9K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 128 min agoofficial metadata 89 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Roger Pascual Ferra · $25.6K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$25.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRoger Pascual Ferra$10.1K@ 87¢·Flaznorp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Roger Pascual Ferra. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Roger Pascual Ferra and Li Tu in the Tiburon, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roger Pascual Ferra' if Roger Pascual Ferra advances against Li Tu. This market will resolve to 'Li Tu' if Li Tu advances against Roger Pascual Ferra. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Roger Pascual Ferra; negative values favor Li Tu. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRoger Pascual Ferra · $30.6K
6hRoger Pascual Ferra · $33.0K
24hRoger Pascual Ferra · $33.0K

Roger Pascual Ferra price VWAP

Volume-weighted Roger Pascual Ferra price. Li Tu fills are converted to the complementary Roger Pascual Ferra probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h87.8¢▲ above by 12.2pp
VWAP 7d87.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Roger Pascual Ferra price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.7K
90¢
$9.7K
85¢
$24.8K
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.4K
70¢
$2.3K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRoger Pascual Ferra$10.1K@ 87.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
90.5¢$2.6Mpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
100.0¢$416.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals
53.5¢$409.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins
56.5¢$409.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$405.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpRoger Pascual Ferra$19.8K
BUY VWAP 88.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.