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Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce

● quote 18s ago
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $8.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $239.3KEvent: Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce
75.6¢
Eva Lys
24.3¢
Gabriela Ce
0.5¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution74Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:87 trades$80.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Eva Lys · $23.0K net·12 wallets·$32.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLEva Lys$14.9K@ 74¢·Runemup

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Eva Lys pressure: $3.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.6K
6h
−$12.0K
tracked
$80.8K

12 verified profitable wallets: Eva Lys · $23.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.5¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 19 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Eva Lys or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Lys and Gabriela Ce in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Lys' if Eva Lys advances against Gabriela Ce. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Ce' if Gabriela Ce advances against Eva Lys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Eva Lys DOWN 6.6pp · near-book depth $6.3K → $176 · 15s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eva Lys; negative values favor Gabriela Ce. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEva Lys · $3.6K
6hGabriela Ce · $12.0K
24hEva Lys · $21.2K

Eva Lys price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eva Lys price. Gabriela Ce fills are converted to the complementary Eva Lys probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current75.6¢
VWAP 24h81.3¢▼ below by 5.6pp
VWAP 7d81.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Eva Lys price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$17.3K
90¢
$12.9K
85¢
$5.5K
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$14.7K
70¢
$29.4K
65¢
$6.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLEva Lys$14.9K@ 74.1¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYEva Lys$10.0K@ 75.7¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RunemupEva Lys$15.0K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesEva Lys$12.9K
BUY VWAP 97.5¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.