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Tiburon: Spencer Johnson vs Erik Arutiunian

Sports→Settlement: Erik ArutiunianLiquidity: $191.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $186.3KEvent: Tiburon: Spencer Johnson vs Erik Arutiunian
0.0¢
Spencer Johnson payout
100.0¢
Erik Arutiunian payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:59 trades$49.8K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 125 min agoofficial metadata 94 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Erik Arutiunian · $9.4K net·10 wallets·$22.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpencer Johnson$5.5K@ 36¢·Gambler661

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Erik Arutiunian. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-21 18:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Spencer Johnson and Erik Arutiunian in the Tiburon, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Erik Arutiunian. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Spencer Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Spencer Johnson DOWN 10.5pp · near-book depth $15 → $113 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spencer Johnson; negative values favor Erik Arutiunian. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSpencer Johnson · $2.8K
6hErik Arutiunian · $11.7K
24hErik Arutiunian · $11.7K

Spencer Johnson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spencer Johnson price. Erik Arutiunian fills are converted to the complementary Spencer Johnson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h39.4¢▼ below by 39.4pp
VWAP 7d39.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Spencer Johnson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.9K
50¢
$2.3K
45¢
$1.3K
40¢
$4.3K
35¢
$28.0K
30¢
$8.5K
25¢
$286
20¢
$10
15¢
$395
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$714

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.