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Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?

● quote just now
Crypto→Closes: 2 daysLiquidity: $33.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $62.8KEvent: What price will Bitcoin hit September 14-20?
55.5¢
YES
44.5¢
NO
3.5¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution62Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority41Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%
24h sample:12 trades$13.6K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata just now
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$4.6K@ 66¢·0x06dc…4524

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

NO pressure: $3.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.1K
6h
−$6.5K
tracked
$13.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
3.5¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 70% · priority 41

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 3.5¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $3.1K
6hNO · $6.5K
24hNO · $5.1K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.5¢
VWAP 24h45.2¢▲ above by 10.3pp
VWAP 7d38.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$0
60¢
$12
55¢
← now
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$9.5K
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$7.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$3.4K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.