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Guadalajara Open Akron: Carole Monnet vs Sloane Stephens

● quote 16s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $735.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $559.9KEvent: Guadalajara Open Akron: Carole Monnet vs Sloane Stephens
0.1¢
Carole Monnet
100.0¢
Sloane Stephens
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:145 trades$150.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sloane Stephens · $73 net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$57.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLCarole Monnet$29.4K@ 28¢·0xe907…cff6

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Carole Monnet pressure: $6.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.7K
6h
−$17.1K
tracked
$150.9K

10 verified profitable wallets: Sloane Stephens · $73 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -32.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Carole Monnet or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Carole Monnet and Sloane Stephens in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carole Monnet' if Carole Monnet advances against Sloane Stephens. This market will resolve to 'Sloane Stephens' if Sloane Stephens advances against Carole Monnet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Carole Monnet@ 33.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Sloane Stephens UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.0K → $27 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Carole Monnet; negative values favor Sloane Stephens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCarole Monnet · $6.7K
6hSloane Stephens · $17.1K
24hSloane Stephens · $17.1K

Carole Monnet price VWAP

Volume-weighted Carole Monnet price. Sloane Stephens fills are converted to the complementary Carole Monnet probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h18.1¢▼ below by 18.0pp
VWAP 7d18.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Carole Monnet price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$3.2K
25¢
$51.5K
20¢
$27.4K
15¢
$23.4K
10¢
$13.3K
5¢
$6.0K
0¢
← now
$26.1K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSloane Stephens$22.4K@ 99.9¢0x1602…fbb0🐋—15 minutes ago
SELLCarole Monnet$29.4K@ 28.0¢0xe907…cff6🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe907…cff6Carole Monnet$32.4K
BUY VWAP 22.8¢·14 fills
0x1602…fbb0Sloane Stephens$18.0K
BUY VWAP 80.4¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.