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Guadalajara Open Akron: Renata Zarazua vs Caroline Dolehide

● quote 7 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $721.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $276.9KEvent: Guadalajara Open Akron: Renata Zarazua vs Caroline Dolehide
4.0¢
Renata Zarazua
99.9¢
Caroline Dolehide
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets84Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:118 trades$88.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Renata Zarazua · $6.6K net·12 wallets·$7.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCaroline Dolehide$15.0K@ 57¢·0x17c4…2471

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Renata Zarazua pressure: $16.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$16.0K
6h
+$405
tracked
$88.4K

12 verified profitable wallets: Renata Zarazua · $6.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +32.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 7 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 32.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Renata Zarazua or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Renata Zarazua and Caroline Dolehide in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Caroline Dolehide. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Dolehide' if Caroline Dolehide advances against Renata Zarazua. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Caroline Dolehide2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Caroline Dolehide@ 68.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -15.0pp
Latest book event: Caroline Dolehide UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $66.9K → $11 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Renata Zarazua; negative values favor Caroline Dolehide. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRenata Zarazua · $16.0K
6hRenata Zarazua · $405
24hRenata Zarazua · $405

Renata Zarazua price VWAP

Volume-weighted Renata Zarazua price. Caroline Dolehide fills are converted to the complementary Renata Zarazua probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current4.0¢
VWAP 24h35.8¢▼ below by 31.8pp
VWAP 7d35.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Renata Zarazua price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$241
55¢
$6.7K
50¢
$588
45¢
$31.0K
40¢
$16.6K
35¢
$431
30¢
$6.8K
25¢
$6.9K
20¢
$3.8K
15¢
$1.8K
10¢
$2.4K
5¢
$250
0¢
← now
$10.8K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLRenata Zarazua$13.5K@ 45.0¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCaroline Dolehide$15.0K@ 56.6¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x17c4…2471Caroline Dolehide$15.0K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·1 fill
AGUGavaRenata Zarazua$13.9K
BUY VWAP 39.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.