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Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice Tjen

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $865.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $416.4KEvent: Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice Tjen
100.0¢
Sloane Stephens
0.1¢
Janice Tjen
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets14Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:181 trades$146.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Janice Tjen · $9.7K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$70.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJanice Tjen$11.2K@ 62¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Sloane Stephens pressure: $13.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$13.2K
6h
−$25.2K
tracked
$146.7K

10 verified profitable wallets: Janice Tjen · $9.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 26.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Sloane Stephens or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-22 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sloane Stephens and Janice Tjen in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sloane Stephens' if Sloane Stephens advances against Janice Tjen. This market will resolve to 'Janice Tjen' if Janice Tjen advances against Sloane Stephens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Sloane Stephens32m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Sloane Stephens@ 74.0¢41m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Janice Tjen DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $927 → $91 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sloane Stephens; negative values favor Janice Tjen. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSloane Stephens · $13.2K
6hJanice Tjen · $25.2K
24hJanice Tjen · $17.5K

Sloane Stephens price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sloane Stephens price. Janice Tjen fills are converted to the complementary Sloane Stephens probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h50.6¢▲ above by 49.4pp
VWAP 7d50.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sloane Stephens price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.5K
90¢
$2.0K
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.6K
75¢
$1.3K
70¢
$535
65¢
$17.8K
60¢
$6.8K
55¢
$8.0K
50¢
$2.8K
45¢
$9.1K
40¢
$20.1K
35¢
$46.8K
30¢
$19.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJanice Tjen$11.2K@ 62.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Janice Tjen$30.9K
BUY VWAP 57.9¢·6 fills
HomeRunHazardSloane Stephens$13.9K
BUY VWAP 62.3¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Sloane Stephens$11.9K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.