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Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris

Sports→Settlement: Marat SharipovLiquidity: $869.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $416.9KEvent: Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris
100.0¢
Marat Sharipov payout
0.0¢
Lloyd Harris payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:177 trades$127.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 114 min agoofficial metadata 90 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marat Sharipov · $13.8K net·11 wallets·$63.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLloyd Harris$15.0K@ 69¢·Runemup

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Marat Sharipov. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-23 10:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Sharipov and Lloyd Harris in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Lloyd Harris. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Marat Sharipov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Lloyd Harris@ 81.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -21.0pp
Latest book event: Marat Sharipov UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $15.3K → $2.4K · 17s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marat Sharipov; negative values favor Lloyd Harris. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLloyd Harris · $11.8K
6hLloyd Harris · $18.2K
24hLloyd Harris · $18.2K

Marat Sharipov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marat Sharipov price. Lloyd Harris fills are converted to the complementary Marat Sharipov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.4¢▲ above by 48.6pp
VWAP 7d51.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marat Sharipov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$21.2K
90¢
$2.8K
85¢
$5.8K
80¢
$6.5K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.9K
60¢
$5.4K
55¢
$3.0K
50¢
$2.4K
45¢
$1.6K
40¢
$6.6K
35¢
$20.0K
30¢
$22.7K
25¢
$7.0K
20¢
$4.9K
15¢
$13.8K
10¢
$2.2K
5¢
$78
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLloyd Harris$15.0K@ 68.7¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cMarat Sharipov$18.4K
BUY VWAP 33.7¢·10 fills
RunemupLloyd Harris$15.0K
BUY VWAP 68.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.