PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

● quote 15s ago
Sports→Closes: 1 minuteLiquidity: $144.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $292.3KEvent: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
48.5¢
Over
51.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection47Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority83Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 99%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:21 trades$289.7K tracked24% 🐋source coverage 97%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $38.8K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$38.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$102.0K@ 51¢·Elaran1993

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Under SETUP
What the tape says

Under pressure: $133.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$133.5K
6h
−$162.5K
tracked
$289.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: Under · $38.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 99% · priority 83

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Under or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-16 19:07 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays combine to score 9 or more runs in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for September 16 at 3:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $43.0K gross
Sassy-Bucket2 linked markets · $37.0K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $20.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 48.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 53.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 51.0¢24m ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $133.5K
6hUnder · $162.5K
24hUnder · $162.5K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h48.7¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d48.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$55
45¢
← now
$289.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLOver$36.9K@ 46.9¢
Elaran19930xb727…2a9d
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYOver$49.5K@ 49.5¢
Elaran19930xb727…2a9d
🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYUnder$39.1K@ 51.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYUnder$102.0K@ 51.0¢
Elaran19930xb727…2a9d
🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYUnder$14.4K@ 51.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
45.5¢$177.9Kpriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
92.5¢$1.4Mpriority73Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
5.5¢$559.5Kpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
28.5¢$481.5Kpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$430.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Szczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Kilian Feldbausch
68.0¢$335.7Kpriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Elaran1993Under$102.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
Elaran1993Over$49.5K
BUY VWAP 49.5¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafUnder$39.1K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardUnder$19.3K
BUY VWAP 51.2¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Under$14.4K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.