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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move - Game 2 Winner

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $167.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $74.3KEvent: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
0.1¢
Yellow Submarine
100.0¢
Two Move
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets14Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$10.5K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 310 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTwo Move$3.1K@ 100¢·GOBLIN1337

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.8K
tracked
$10.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: Yellow Submarine · $1.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 310 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-17 01:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win Game 2 against Two Move.

•This market will resolve to "Two Move" if Two Move win Game 2 against Yellow Submarine.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Yellow Submarine and Two Move in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win Game 2 against Two Move. This market will resolve to "Two Move" if Two Move win Game 2 against Yellow Submarine. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
GOBLIN13372 linked markets · $7.6K gross
Sunshine.Smile2 linked markets · $4.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yellow Submarine; negative values favor Two Move. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYellow Submarine · $0
6hYellow Submarine · $1.8K
24hYellow Submarine · $1.8K

Yellow Submarine price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yellow Submarine price. Two Move fills are converted to the complementary Yellow Submarine probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h9.4¢▼ below by 9.4pp
VWAP 7d9.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yellow Submarine price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.3K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.3K
10¢
$0
5¢
$1.8K
0¢
← now
$6.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.