Finland vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $5.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $147.9KEvent: Finland vs. Belarus - More Markets
9.5¢
Over
90.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100direction2wallets58execution18priority0data 75%💡 4 smart
24h sample:32 trades$60.7K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $3.6K net·4 wallets·$6.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$20.0K@ 51¢·Bloodygoodrep1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Over pressure: $1.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.2K
6h
−$30.3K
tracked
$60.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: Over · $3.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +41.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 41.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Over or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-29 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if Finland and Belarus combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Finland and Belarus, scheduled for September 29 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Finland and Belarus combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $12.2K gross
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $6.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp
Latest book event: Over DOWN 13.0pp · near-book depth $1.6K → $2.4K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hOver · $1.2K
6hUnder · $30.3K
24hUnder · $32.7K

Over price VWAP

Current9.5¢
VWAP 24h47.0¢▼ below by 37.5pp
VWAP 7d47.0¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$3
50¢
$12
45¢
$47.9K
40¢
$10.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.8K
25¢
$213
20¢
$266
15¢
$103
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYUnder$10.8K@ 51.0¢
Bloodygoodrep10xe885…95b7
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYUnder$20.0K@ 50.8¢
Bloodygoodrep10xe885…95b7
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Bloodygoodrep1Under$30.8K
BUY VWAP 50.9¢·2 fills
zhuz632Under$10.4K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.