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Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $79.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $514.8KEvent: Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur
1.0¢
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
99.0¢
Joelle Steur
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets6Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 92%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:163 trades$214.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 67%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 41s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Joelle Steur · $5.4K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$111.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJoelle Steur$18.1K@ 90¢·Flaznorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Joelle Steur pressure: $19.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.6K
6h
−$33.3K
tracked
$214.7K

13 verified profitable wallets: Joelle Steur · $5.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 92% · priority 45

Since latest large flow: -25.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Joelle Steur or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-25 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Joelle Steur in the Valencia, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Lazaro Garcia' if Andrea Lazaro Garcia advances against Joelle Steur. This market will resolve to 'Joelle Steur' if Joelle Steur advances against Andrea Lazaro Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Andrea Lazaro Garcia11m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Andrea Lazaro Garcia@ 27.0¢16m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Joelle Steur17m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Joelle Steur@ 48.0¢35m ago
15m CONFIRMED +25.0pp
Latest book event: Andrea Lazaro Garcia DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $286 → $2 · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Andrea Lazaro Garcia; negative values favor Joelle Steur. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJoelle Steur · $19.6K
6hJoelle Steur · $33.3K
24hJoelle Steur · $33.3K

Andrea Lazaro Garcia price VWAP

Volume-weighted Andrea Lazaro Garcia price. Joelle Steur fills are converted to the complementary Andrea Lazaro Garcia probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h46.6¢▼ below by 45.6pp
VWAP 7d46.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Andrea Lazaro Garcia price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$3.9K
75¢
$4.3K
70¢
$8.9K
65¢
$6.0K
60¢
$2.8K
55¢
$23.6K
50¢
$46.8K
45¢
$36.9K
40¢
$19.6K
35¢
$37.2K
30¢
$2.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$3.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$18.1K
5¢
$1.1K
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJoelle Steur$18.1K@ 90.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—1 minute ago
BUYJoelle Steur$13.1K@ 60.8¢
watcherz880xc5a2…6dd9
🐋—11 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtAndrea Lazaro Garcia$30.3K
BUY VWAP 49.8¢·9 fills
kkookkooJoelle Steur$22.0K
BUY VWAP 63.2¢·3 fills
FlaznorpJoelle Steur$20.7K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·3 fills
HVABJoelle Steur$17.9K
BUY VWAP 54.1¢·6 fills
Gambler661Joelle Steur$16.2K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·4 fills
HVABAndrea Lazaro Garcia$13.7K
BUY VWAP 64.3¢·2 fills
watcherz88Joelle Steur$13.1K
BUY VWAP 60.8¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Andrea Lazaro Garcia$12.7K
BUY VWAP 51.4¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.