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Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $396.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $56.2KEvent: Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
58.5¢
Minnesota Twins
41.5¢
San Francisco Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$97.8K tracked18% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Francisco Giants$33.7K@ 42¢·EsportsAI

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW San Francisco Giants SETUP
What the tape says

San Francisco Giants pressure: $34.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$34.6K
6h
−$21.5K
tracked
$97.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: San Francisco Giants · $1.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 100% · priority 63

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from San Francisco Giants or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 19:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for September 23 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY San Francisco Giants@ 43.0¢19m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Minnesota Twins; negative values favor San Francisco Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Francisco Giants · $34.6K
6hSan Francisco Giants · $21.5K
24hSan Francisco Giants · $18.9K

Minnesota Twins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Minnesota Twins price. San Francisco Giants fills are converted to the complementary Minnesota Twins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current58.5¢
VWAP 24h58.2¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d58.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Minnesota Twins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$97.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMinnesota Twins$11.8K@ 59.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$33.7K@ 42.0¢
EsportsAI0xb1ce…3991
🐋—21 minutes ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$21.1K@ 42.0¢
EsportsAI0xb1ce…3991
🐋—21 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

EsportsAISan Francisco Giants$54.8K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·2 fills
quavooMinnesota Twins$16.6K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·4 fills
FeromontMinnesota Twins$11.8K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.