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Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)

● quote 46s ago
Sports→Closes: about 23 hoursLiquidity: $67.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $83.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
37.5¢
FaZe
62.5¢
Nemiga
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%
24h sample:10 trades$28.0K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 69 min agoofficial metadata 10s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFaZe$12.1K@ 37¢·EnotikBegemotik

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$4
6h
+$26.7K
tracked
$28.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 69 minutes old.
  • •Less than 23h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-01 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe wins 2 or more maps than Nemiga in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nemiga".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between FaZe and Nemiga in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe wins 2 or more maps than Nemiga in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nemiga". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 1, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY FaZe@ 38.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FaZe; negative values favor Nemiga. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNemiga · $4
6hFaZe · $26.7K
24hFaZe · $27.8K

FaZe price VWAP

Volume-weighted FaZe price. Nemiga fills are converted to the complementary FaZe probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.5¢
VWAP 24h37.0¢▲ above by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d37.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FaZe price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$28.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFaZe$12.1K@ 37.0¢
EnotikBegemotik0x0255…0354
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

EnotikBegemotikFaZe$26.8K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.