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Sao Paulo Open: Anna Blinkova vs Alina Charaeva

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $456.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $412.6KEvent: Sao Paulo Open: Anna Blinkova vs Alina Charaeva
99.9¢
Anna Blinkova
1.0¢
Alina Charaeva
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection34Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets41Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:84 trades$164.0K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Anna Blinkova · $17.6K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$42.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAnna Blinkova$25.5K@ 99¢·watcherz88

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Alina Charaeva pressure: $55.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$55.3K
6h
+$4.0K
tracked
$164.0K

8 verified profitable wallets: Anna Blinkova · $17.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +15.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 15.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alina Charaeva or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-25 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Blinkova and Alina Charaeva in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Blinkova' if Anna Blinkova advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Anna Blinkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Anna Blinkova1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Anna Blinkova@ 85.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -28.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Alina Charaeva DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $9.8K → $3.3K · 22s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Anna Blinkova; negative values favor Alina Charaeva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlina Charaeva · $55.3K
6hAnna Blinkova · $4.0K
24hAnna Blinkova · $20.7K

Anna Blinkova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Anna Blinkova price. Alina Charaeva fills are converted to the complementary Anna Blinkova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h82.9¢▲ above by 17.0pp
VWAP 7d82.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Anna Blinkova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$58.3K
90¢
$3.7K
85¢
$1.7K
80¢
$39.7K
75¢
$9.4K
70¢
$13.6K
65¢
$1.8K
60¢
$35.4K
55¢
$110
50¢
$380
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAnna Blinkova$14.3K@ 99.9¢
kylianonpol0x5982…fd3e
🐋—12 minutes ago
SELLAnna Blinkova$25.5K@ 99.0¢
watcherz880xc5a2…6dd9
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYAnna Blinkova$21.1K@ 82.2¢
watcherz880xc5a2…6dd9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnna Blinkova$12.0K@ 84.0¢
kylianonpol0x5982…fd3e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAnna Blinkova$11.1K@ 61.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

watcherz88Anna Blinkova$21.1K
BUY VWAP 82.2¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Anna Blinkova$18.4K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·3 fills
kylianonpolAnna Blinkova$12.0K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.