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Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $195.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $441.1KEvent: Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
100.0¢
Nadia Podoroska
0.1¢
Suzan Lamens
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets35Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:149 trades$166.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nadia Podoroska · $19.8K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$56.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNadia Podoroska$17.2K@ 70¢·HVAB

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Nadia Podoroska pressure: $25.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$25.4K
6h
+$36.5K
tracked
$166.1K

11 verified profitable wallets: Nadia Podoroska · $19.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +24.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 24.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nadia Podoroska or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-25 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nadia Podoroska and Suzan Lamens in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nadia Podoroska' if Nadia Podoroska advances against Suzan Lamens. This market will resolve to 'Suzan Lamens' if Suzan Lamens advances against Nadia Podoroska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Nadia Podoroska9m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Nadia Podoroska@ 76.0¢12m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Nadia Podoroska2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Nadia Podoroska@ 39.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +16.0pp1h CONFIRMED +32.0pp
Latest book event: Suzan Lamens DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $23.2K → $12 · 20s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nadia Podoroska; negative values favor Suzan Lamens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNadia Podoroska · $25.4K
6hNadia Podoroska · $36.5K
24hNadia Podoroska · $34.8K

Nadia Podoroska price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nadia Podoroska price. Suzan Lamens fills are converted to the complementary Nadia Podoroska probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h62.4¢▲ above by 37.6pp
VWAP 7d62.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nadia Podoroska price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$12.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$4.4K
80¢
$0
75¢
$14.0K
70¢
$46.3K
65¢
$23.7K
60¢
$9.8K
55¢
$2.3K
50¢
$22.3K
45¢
$4.1K
40¢
$20
35¢
$6.4K
30¢
$8.6K
25¢
$1.5K
20¢
$10.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNadia Podoroska$11.2K@ 97.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—6 minutes ago
BUYNadia Podoroska$14.0K@ 65.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYNadia Podoroska$17.2K@ 70.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HVABNadia Podoroska$32.9K
BUY VWAP 67.6¢·3 fills
HomeRunHazardNadia Podoroska$15.0K
BUY VWAP 47.3¢·6 fills
FlaznorpNadia Podoroska$12.5K
BUY VWAP 93.8¢·2 fills
0x78be…bde0Suzan Lamens$11.0K
BUY VWAP 41.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.