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Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger

Sports→Settlement: Michael ZhengLiquidity: $173.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $228.2KEvent: Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
100.0¢
Michael Zheng payout
0.0¢
Mitchell Krueger payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:102 trades$65.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 106 min agoofficial metadata 75 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Michael Zheng · $40.3K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$40.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMichael Zheng$10.2K@ 79¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Michael Zheng. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-25 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Zheng and Mitchell Krueger in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Mitchell Krueger. This market will resolve to 'Mitchell Krueger' if Mitchell Krueger advances against Michael Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Michael Zheng UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $1.6K → $9.7K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Michael Zheng; negative values favor Mitchell Krueger. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMichael Zheng · $19.5K
6hMichael Zheng · $47.8K
24hMichael Zheng · $47.8K

Michael Zheng price VWAP

Volume-weighted Michael Zheng price. Mitchell Krueger fills are converted to the complementary Michael Zheng probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h86.8¢▲ above by 13.2pp
VWAP 7d86.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Michael Zheng price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.8K
90¢
$20.7K
85¢
$2.8K
80¢
$5.7K
75¢
$23.3K
70¢
$1.9K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMichael Zheng$10.2K@ 78.9¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardMichael Zheng$15.4K
BUY VWAP 88.2¢·7 fills
UpTheBluesMichael Zheng$13.8K
BUY VWAP 86.3¢·24 fills
0x78be…bde0Michael Zheng$10.2K
BUY VWAP 78.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.