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Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Bernard Tomic

Sports→Settlement: Pavel KotovLiquidity: $402.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $133.7KEvent: Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Bernard Tomic
100.0¢
Pavel Kotov payout
0.0¢
Bernard Tomic payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:40 trades$35.4K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 114 min agoofficial metadata 81 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pavel Kotov · $12.2K net·7 wallets·$15.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBernard Tomic$9.9K@ 51¢·Antblack

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pavel Kotov. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Bernard Tomic in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Bernard Tomic. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Pavel Kotov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Pavel Kotov@ 89.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Pavel Kotov UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $55.7K → $49.6K · 35s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pavel Kotov; negative values favor Bernard Tomic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPavel Kotov · $15.0K
6hPavel Kotov · $6.0K
24hPavel Kotov · $6.0K

Pavel Kotov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pavel Kotov price. Bernard Tomic fills are converted to the complementary Pavel Kotov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.7¢▲ above by 30.3pp
VWAP 7d69.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pavel Kotov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$188
90¢
$5.7K
85¢
$104
80¢
$11.8K
75¢
$2.3K
70¢
$152
65¢
$21
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$4.0K
45¢
$11.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.