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Szczecin: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Trungelliti

Sports→Settlement: Thiago MonteiroLiquidity: $558.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $166.5KEvent: Szczecin: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Trungelliti
100.0¢
Thiago Monteiro payout
0.0¢
Marco Trungelliti payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:23 trades$51.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 118 min agoofficial metadata 73 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Thiago Monteiro · $25.5K net·8 wallets·$31.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYThiago Monteiro$13.2K@ 80¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Thiago Monteiro. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Marco Trungelliti in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Marco Trungelliti. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Thiago Monteiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Thiago Monteiro UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $35.8K → $11.9K · 70s
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Monteiro; negative values favor Marco Trungelliti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Monteiro · $32.5K
6hThiago Monteiro · $36.0K
24hThiago Monteiro · $34.5K

Thiago Monteiro price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Monteiro price. Marco Trungelliti fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Monteiro probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h70.1¢▲ above by 29.9pp
VWAP 7d70.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thiago Monteiro price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.1K
90¢
$75
85¢
$13.8K
80¢
$0
75¢
$16.2K
70¢
$0
65¢
$3.8K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$5.7K
45¢
$2.9K
40¢
$7.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYThiago Monteiro$13.2K@ 79.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooThiago Monteiro$13.2K
BUY VWAP 79.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.