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Biella: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Jay Clarke

● quote 18s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $128.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $216.0KEvent: Biella: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Jay Clarke
100.0¢
Alejandro Moro Canas
0.1¢
Jay Clarke
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection32Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 82%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:64 trades$64.6K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alejandro Moro Canas · $31.9K net·7 wallets·$47.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlejandro Moro Canas$6.2K@ 84¢·RN1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Alejandro Moro Canas pressure: $20.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$20.4K
6h
+$38.6K
tracked
$64.6K

7 verified profitable wallets: Alejandro Moro Canas · $31.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 82% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +15.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 15.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alejandro Moro Canas or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Jay Clarke in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Jay Clarke. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Alejandro Moro Canas12m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Alejandro Moro Canas@ 85.0¢24m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Alejandro Moro Canas UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $11.0K → $3.9K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alejandro Moro Canas; negative values favor Jay Clarke. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlejandro Moro Canas · $20.4K
6hAlejandro Moro Canas · $38.6K
24hAlejandro Moro Canas · $38.6K

Alejandro Moro Canas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alejandro Moro Canas price. Jay Clarke fills are converted to the complementary Alejandro Moro Canas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.2¢▲ above by 28.7pp
VWAP 7d71.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alejandro Moro Canas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.8K
90¢
$2.5K
85¢
$5.9K
80¢
$11.7K
75¢
$4.4K
70¢
$2.2K
65¢
$11.8K
60¢
$1.6K
55¢
$20.1K
50¢
$2.5K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RN1Alejandro Moro Canas$36.3K
BUY VWAP 66.7¢·12 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.