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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner

● quote 31s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $631.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $761.1KEvent: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
1.0¢
Karmine Corp
99.0¢
Movistar KOI
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection56Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets37Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%💡 26 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:320 trades$749.0K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 98%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Movistar KOI · $82.6K net·26 wallets(6🐋)·$223.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMovistar KOI$28.5K@ 98¢·KAPWV

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Movistar KOI pressure: $417.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$417.2K
6h
−$417.0K
tracked
$749.0K

26 verified profitable wallets: Movistar KOI · $82.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 100% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +14.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 14.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Movistar KOI or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against Movistar KOI.

•This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 2 against Karmine Corp.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 2 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
trgparking2 linked markets · $263.4K gross
fantasy77884 linked markets · $213.6K gross
0x076d…8d4c4 linked markets · $166.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Movistar KOI@ 86.0¢15m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Movistar KOI18m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Karmine Corp33m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Movistar KOI@ 37.0¢38m ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp
Latest book event: Movistar KOI DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $382 → $907 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karmine Corp; negative values favor Movistar KOI. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMovistar KOI · $417.2K
6hMovistar KOI · $417.0K
24hMovistar KOI · $417.0K

Karmine Corp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karmine Corp price. Movistar KOI fills are converted to the complementary Karmine Corp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h22.5¢▼ below by 21.5pp
VWAP 7d22.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Karmine Corp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$7.2K
80¢
$1.8K
75¢
$6.5K
70¢
$22.1K
65¢
$70.2K
60¢
$88.5K
55¢
$23.8K
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.6K
25¢
$8.5K
20¢
$19.0K
15¢
$17.8K
10¢
$18.9K
5¢
$22.9K
0¢
← now
$437.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMovistar KOI$18.0K@ 98.8¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$28.5K@ 98.0¢
KAPWV0x9cf7…8c87
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$13.7K@ 98.0¢0xb595…5922🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.7K@ 98.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$22.0K@ 98.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$10.0K@ 92.0¢
aomendushen0080xd3f1…7535
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYKarmine Corp$12.3K@ 64.0¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKarmine Corp$13.0K@ 66.0¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKarmine Corp$18.2K@ 65.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

trgparkingMovistar KOI$228.6K
BUY VWAP 97.1¢·17 fills
0x0b5a…1457Movistar KOI$39.2K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·4 fills
KAPWVMovistar KOI$28.5K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill
arm1337Movistar KOI$26.0K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·13 fills
5e46hMovistar KOI$22.0K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill
Diabolical-PrizeMovistar KOI$18.9K
BUY VWAP 37.8¢·4 fills
0x076d…8d4cKarmine Corp$18.2K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill
Sisyphus.Movistar KOI$18.0K
BUY VWAP 98.8¢·1 fill
five5120Karmine Corp$14.9K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills
0xb595…5922Movistar KOI$13.7K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.