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Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $35.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $391.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
64.5¢
MOUZ
35.5¢
FURIA
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets72Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution74Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:208 trades$160.8K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $39.2K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$54.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMOUZ$16.3K@ 60¢·fkcvffcjt

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW MOUZ SETUP
What the tape says

MOUZ pressure: $29.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$29.2K
6h
+$47.5K
tracked
$160.8K

13 verified profitable wallets: MOUZ · $39.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 62

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from MOUZ or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against FURIA.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against MOUZ.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between MOUZ and FURIA in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $79.6K gross
RN12 linked markets · $48.2K gross
Ancient-Strike2 linked markets · $45.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: MOUZ DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $369 → $240 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MOUZ; negative values favor FURIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $29.2K
6hMOUZ · $47.5K
24hMOUZ · $47.5K

MOUZ price VWAP

Volume-weighted MOUZ price. FURIA fills are converted to the complementary MOUZ probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current64.5¢
VWAP 24h58.6¢▲ above by 5.9pp
VWAP 7d58.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MOUZ price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$2.0K
85¢
$1.4K
80¢
$1.4K
75¢
$6.1K
70¢
$1.9K
65¢
$8.2K
60¢
← now
$85.8K
55¢
$19.7K
50¢
$14.4K
45¢
$5.7K
40¢
$6.0K
35¢
$2.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$6.0K
20¢
$152
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMOUZ$16.3K@ 60.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtMOUZ$21.5K
BUY VWAP 56.8¢·3 fills
RN1MOUZ$20.3K
BUY VWAP 58.7¢·10 fills
aaaa298MOUZ$18.3K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.