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Davis Cup: Arthur Fery vs. Andres Andrade

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $273.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $162.2KEvent: Davis Cup: Arthur Fery vs. Andres Andrade
50.5¢
Arthur Fery
49.5¢
Andres Andrade
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$62.0K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 147 min agoofficial metadata 39s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArthur Fery$4.6K@ 55¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$62.0K
tracked
$62.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: Arthur Fery · $60.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 147 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 12:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.daviscup.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Andres Andrade in the Davis Cup, originally scheduled for September 20 at 8:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Arthur Fery@ 51.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Arthur Fery@ 51.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arthur Fery; negative values favor Andres Andrade. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArthur Fery · $0
6hArthur Fery · $62.0K
24hArthur Fery · $62.0K

Arthur Fery price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arthur Fery price. Andres Andrade fills are converted to the complementary Arthur Fery probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h54.8¢▼ below by 4.3pp
VWAP 7d54.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arthur Fery price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$6.0K
60¢
$6.0K
55¢
$9.3K
50¢
← now
$40.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Arthur Fery$60.7K
BUY VWAP 54.3¢·15 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.