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Singapore Open, Qualification: Nao Hibino vs Aoi Ito

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $474.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $166.7KEvent: Singapore Open, Qualification: Nao Hibino vs Aoi Ito
74.5¢
Nao Hibino payout
25.5¢
Aoi Ito payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:89 trades$45.5K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 179 min agoofficial metadata 128 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aoi Ito · $5.8K net·16 wallets·$15.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNao Hibino$5.9K@ 100¢·hgyuhtgyu

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nao Hibino and Aoi Ito in the Singapore Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nao Hibino' if Nao Hibino advances against Aoi Ito. This market will resolve to 'Aoi Ito' if Aoi Ito advances against Nao Hibino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Aoi Ito DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $18 → $391 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nao Hibino; negative values favor Aoi Ito. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAoi Ito · $6.8K
6hAoi Ito · $5.3K
24hAoi Ito · $5.3K

Nao Hibino price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nao Hibino price. Aoi Ito fills are converted to the complementary Nao Hibino probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current74.5¢
VWAP 24h68.0¢▲ above by 6.5pp
VWAP 7d68.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nao Hibino price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$12.3K
90¢
$45
85¢
$4.6K
80¢
$32
75¢
$4.4K
70¢
← now
$2.3K
65¢
$2.3K
60¢
$262
55¢
$1.3K
50¢
$6.1K
45¢
$2.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$6.7K
25¢
$2.8K
20¢
$2
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.