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Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Yakult BrothersLiquidity: $282.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $538.6KEvent: Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
0.0¢
Pipsqueak+4 payout
100.0¢
Yakult Brothers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:196 trades$217.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pipsqueak+4 · $21.1K net·13 wallets·$32.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLYakult Brothers$19.5K@ 100¢·0xe2d0…7bbf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Yakult Brothers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-20 19:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win Game 1 against Yakult Brothers.

•This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win Game 1 against Pipsqueak+4.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Pipsqueak+4 and Yakult Brothers in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win Game 1 against Yakult Brothers. This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win Game 1 against Pipsqueak+4. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ribalka2 linked markets · $23.1K gross
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $21.0K gross
0xf3ce…a57a2 linked markets · $19.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Yakult Brothers UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $92 → $1.1K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pipsqueak+4; negative values favor Yakult Brothers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPipsqueak+4 · $80.8K
6hPipsqueak+4 · $94.0K
24hPipsqueak+4 · $94.0K

Pipsqueak+4 price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pipsqueak+4 price. Yakult Brothers fills are converted to the complementary Pipsqueak+4 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h25.5¢▼ below by 25.5pp
VWAP 7d25.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pipsqueak+4 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$377
65¢
$10.6K
60¢
$34.6K
55¢
$24.3K
50¢
$9.5K
45¢
$5.1K
40¢
$3.4K
35¢
$153
30¢
$1.7K
25¢
$661
20¢
$6.6K
15¢
$6.1K
10¢
$906
5¢
$2.7K
0¢
← now
$110.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLYakult Brothers$19.5K@ 99.9¢0xe2d0…7bbf🐋—41 minutes ago
SELLYakult Brothers$10.9K@ 99.9¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30Pipsqueak+4$11.0K
BUY VWAP 55.4¢·11 fills
0xf3ce…a57aPipsqueak+4$10.4K
BUY VWAP 67.7¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.