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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $80.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $345.0KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
11.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays
89.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:42 trades$140.0K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $25.8K net·4 wallets·$25.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays$37.7K@ 36¢·Sassy-Bucket

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$1
6h
+$7.9K
tracked
$140.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $25.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -25.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 33 minutes old.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 27 at 3:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 37.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -32.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 37.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 65.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 65.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $71 → $80 · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tampa Bay Rays; negative values favor Philadelphia Phillies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $1
6hTampa Bay Rays · $7.9K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $11.9K

Tampa Bay Rays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tampa Bay Rays price. Philadelphia Phillies fills are converted to the complementary Tampa Bay Rays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current11.0¢
VWAP 24h37.0¢▼ below by 26.0pp
VWAP 7d37.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tampa Bay Rays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$19.8K
35¢
$119.8K
30¢
$0
25¢
$2
20¢
$420
15¢
$3
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$5
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays$25.8K@ 36.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$37.7K@ 36.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$21.0K@ 62.4¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$13.2K@ 59.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketTampa Bay Rays$63.6K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·2 fills
kkookkooPhiladelphia Phillies$29.9K
BUY VWAP 62.5¢·2 fills
SDTradingPhiladelphia Phillies$17.8K
BUY VWAP 58.7¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardPhiladelphia Phillies$16.1K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.