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LoL: Forsaken vs The Otter Side (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $150.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $376.6KEvent: LoL: Forsaken vs The Otter Side (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
0.1¢
Forsaken
100.0¢
The Otter Side
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets17Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:197 trades$138.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:The Otter Side · $4.4K net·14 wallets·$25.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYForsaken$16.1K@ 83¢·CNExpert

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Forsaken pressure: $20.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$20.9K
6h
+$80.2K
tracked
$138.2K

14 verified profitable wallets: The Otter Side · $4.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Forsaken or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-28 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Forsaken" if Forsaken win the match against The Otter Side.

•This market will resolve to "The Otter Side" if The Otter Side win the match against Forsaken.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Forsaken and The Otter Side in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Forsaken" if Forsaken win the match against The Otter Side. This market will resolve to "The Otter Side" if The Otter Side win the match against Forsaken. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 27, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: The Otter Side DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $177 → $351 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Forsaken; negative values favor The Otter Side. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hForsaken · $20.9K
6hForsaken · $80.2K
24hForsaken · $80.2K

Forsaken price VWAP

Volume-weighted Forsaken price. The Otter Side fills are converted to the complementary Forsaken probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h39.9¢▼ below by 39.8pp
VWAP 7d39.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Forsaken price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$13.5K
85¢
$7.1K
80¢
$22.3K
75¢
$6.8K
70¢
$9.6K
65¢
$6.5K
60¢
$847
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$222
35¢
$484
30¢
$965
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$69.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLThe Otter Side$13.3K@ 99.9¢
CNExpert0xb9e3…87a3
🐋—34 minutes ago
BUYForsaken$16.1K@ 83.0¢
CNExpert0xb9e3…87a3
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

CNExpertForsaken$16.1K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill
jessy4Forsaken$10.2K
BUY VWAP 86.9¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.