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Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $32.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $97.3KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
62.5¢
Philadelphia Phillies
37.5¢
Milwaukee Brewers
7.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution80Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:19 trades$29.7K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 41s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $26.3K net·4 wallets·$26.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$8.8K@ 37¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Philadelphia Phillies pressure: $4.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.1K
6h
+$28.4K
tracked
$29.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $26.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
7.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 7.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Philadelphia Phillies or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-22 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 22 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo4 linked markets · $109.6K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $87.8K gross
SDTrading2 linked markets · $44.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Philadelphia Phillies DOWN 10.0pp · near-book depth $744 → $6.1K · 65s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Milwaukee Brewers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $4.1K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $28.4K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $29.6K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Milwaukee Brewers fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current62.5¢
VWAP 24h40.6¢▲ above by 21.9pp
VWAP 7d40.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$97
60¢
← now
$4.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$14
40¢
$7
35¢
$25.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardPhiladelphia Phillies$16.2K
BUY VWAP 41.2¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.