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Wake Forest vs. Louisville

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 20 minutesLiquidity: $275.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $123.3KEvent: Wake Forest vs. Louisville
18.5¢
Wake Forest
81.5¢
Louisville
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$67.1K tracked27% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLouisville$30.0K@ 82¢·Kosherlocks

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Louisville pressure: $6.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.9K
6h
−$38.2K
tracked
$67.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: Louisville · $1.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Louisville or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Wake Forest and Louisville, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the game. This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Louisville@ 82.0¢10m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Louisville@ 81.0¢40m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Wake Forest; negative values favor Louisville. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLouisville · $6.9K
6hLouisville · $38.2K
24hLouisville · $38.2K

Wake Forest price VWAP

Volume-weighted Wake Forest price. Louisville fills are converted to the complementary Wake Forest probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current18.5¢
VWAP 24h18.5¢▼ below by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d18.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Wake Forest price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$74.2K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLouisville$21.4K@ 81.0¢
phonesculptor0xf152…64aa
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYWake Forest$14.5K@ 19.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLouisville$30.0K@ 82.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KosherlocksLouisville$30.0K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·1 fill
phonesculptorLouisville$21.4K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill
Sassy-BucketWake Forest$14.5K
BUY VWAP 19.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.