Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
2 verified profitable wallets: Hawaii · $4.3K net over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 60% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game by 4 or more points.
•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wyoming".
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wyoming". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Hawaii price VWAP
Largest holders
Hawaii price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.