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Ole Miss vs. Florida

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 3 daysLiquidity: $117.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $163.0KEvent: Ole Miss vs. Florida
41.5¢
Ole Miss
58.5¢
Florida
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%
24h sample:31 trades$81.8K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 162 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlorida$18.7K@ 58¢·maz26

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$16.6K
tracked
$81.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 162 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" if Ole Miss win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Ole Miss and Florida, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" if Ole Miss win the game. This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Florida@ 59.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Florida@ 58.0¢20h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Ole Miss@ 43.0¢20h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ole Miss; negative values favor Florida. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOle Miss · $0
6hFlorida · $16.6K
24hFlorida · $41.9K

Ole Miss price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ole Miss price. Florida fills are converted to the complementary Ole Miss probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h42.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d42.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Ole Miss price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$81.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFlorida$18.7K@ 58.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYFlorida$17.4K@ 58.0¢
Soarin220x84db…aeeb
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYOle Miss$17.0K@ 42.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 23 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Florida$18.7K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
Soarin22Florida$17.4K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiOle Miss$17.0K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill
iDARKenjoyerFlorida$11.6K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.