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UConn vs. Miami (OH)

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $131.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $404.7KEvent: UConn vs. Miami (OH)
39.5¢
UConn payout
60.5¢
Miami (OH) payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:UConn · $18.1K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$41.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUConn$16.7K@ 41¢·texaskid

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "UConn" if UConn win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Miami (OH)" if Miami (OH) win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between UConn and Miami (OH), scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UConn" if UConn win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami (OH)" if Miami (OH) win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
texaskid2 linked markets · $61.2K gross
primm2 linked markets · $12.7K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $6.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Miami (OH)@ 57.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -40.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Miami (OH)@ 57.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -40.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Miami (OH)@ 57.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -38.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY UConn@ 43.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor UConn; negative values favor Miami (OH). Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami (OH) · $8.8K
6hMiami (OH) · $85.0K
24hMiami (OH) · $63.9K

UConn price VWAP

Volume-weighted UConn price. Miami (OH) fills are converted to the complementary UConn probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current39.5¢
VWAP 24h41.6¢▼ below by 2.1pp
VWAP 7d41.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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UConn price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$12
75¢
$2.6K
70¢
$186
65¢
$271
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.3K
50¢
$8.5K
45¢
$15.8K
40¢
$127.5K
35¢
← now
$7.0K
30¢
$8.7K
25¢
$24
20¢
$130
15¢
$51
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$8.5K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMiami (OH)$11.4K@ 57.0¢
weflyhigh0x03e8…1697
🐋—3 days ago
BUYMiami (OH)$11.4K@ 57.0¢
weflyhigh0x03e8…1697
🐋—3 days ago
BUYMiami (OH)$11.4K@ 57.0¢
weflyhigh0x03e8…1697
🐋—3 days ago
BUYMiami (OH)$11.0K@ 56.0¢
weflyhigh0x03e8…1697
🐋—3 days ago
BUYUConn$10.2K@ 43.0¢
primm0xd38b…5029
🐋—3 days ago
BUYUConn$16.7K@ 41.0¢
texaskid0xc807…c12b
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

weflyhighMiami (OH)$78.2K
BUY VWAP 56.9¢·9 fills
texaskidUConn$19.9K
BUY VWAP 40.8¢·2 fills
analdesutructorMiami (OH)$13.6K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·5 fills
RN1Miami (OH)$10.8K
BUY VWAP 53.3¢·3 fills
primmUConn$10.2K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.