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Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State

Sports→American FootballSettlement: New Mexico StateLiquidity: $211.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $163.5KEvent: Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State
0.0¢
Western Kentucky payout
100.0¢
New Mexico State payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWestern Kentucky$20.2K@ 48¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome New Mexico State. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-02 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Western Kentucky" if Western Kentucky win the game.

•This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico State win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Western Kentucky and New Mexico State, scheduled for October 1 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Western Kentucky" if Western Kentucky win the game. This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 23d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 23d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Western Kentucky24d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Western Kentucky@ 48.0¢24d ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp1h INVALIDATED -8.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Western Kentucky; negative values favor New Mexico State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew Mexico State · $2.3K
6hWestern Kentucky · $16.2K
24hWestern Kentucky · $16.2K

Western Kentucky price VWAP

Volume-weighted Western Kentucky price. New Mexico State fills are converted to the complementary Western Kentucky probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h38.53¢▼ below by 38.5pp
VWAP 7d38.68¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Western Kentucky price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$4
55¢
$93
50¢
$1.2K
45¢
$30.9K
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$4.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$5.3K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$341
5¢
$4.5K
0¢
← now
$2.6K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYWestern Kentucky$20.2K@ 48.0¢0x78be…bde0🐋—24 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.