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Army vs. Louisiana Tech

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 5 minutesLiquidity: $236.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $380.4KEvent: Army vs. Louisiana Tech
49.5¢
Army
50.5¢
Louisiana Tech
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets41Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:39 trades$410.5K tracked28% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Louisiana Tech · $52.9K net·7 wallets(3🐋)·$129.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArmy$97.0K@ 50¢·Sassy-Bucket

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Army SETUP
What the tape says

Army pressure: $82.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$82.1K
6h
+$82.1K
tracked
$410.5K

7 verified profitable wallets: Louisiana Tech · $52.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 100% · priority 60

Since latest position change: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Army or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Louisiana Tech" if Louisiana Tech win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Army and Louisiana Tech, scheduled for October 3 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game. This market will resolve to "Louisiana Tech" if Louisiana Tech win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Army@ 50.0¢0m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Army@ 51.0¢15m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Army@ 50.0¢27m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Louisiana Tech@ 49.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Army; negative values favor Louisiana Tech. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArmy · $82.1K
6hArmy · $82.1K
24hArmy · $63.1K

Army price VWAP

Volume-weighted Army price. Louisiana Tech fills are converted to the complementary Army probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h49.9¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d49.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Army price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$355.1K
45¢
← now
$55.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLouisiana Tech$14.4K@ 50.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYLouisiana Tech$20.0K@ 50.0¢0x94f6…cf62🐋—5 minutes ago
BUYArmy$55.7K@ 50.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—5 minutes ago
BUYArmy$34.9K@ 49.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYLouisiana Tech$15.1K@ 51.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYLouisiana Tech$26.0K@ 50.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—8 minutes ago
BUYLouisiana Tech$24.0K@ 50.0¢
THEdirkdiggler0x1e77…8c33
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYArmy$22.7K@ 50.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—21 minutes ago
BUYArmy$97.0K@ 50.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYArmy$15.0K@ 50.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYLouisiana Tech$16.1K@ 50.0¢
texaskid0xc807…c12b
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketArmy$179.3K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Louisiana Tech$40.4K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Army$34.9K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
THEdirkdigglerLouisiana Tech$24.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
texaskidLouisiana Tech$23.3K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
0x94f6…cf62Louisiana Tech$20.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
quavooLouisiana Tech$15.2K
BUY VWAP 50.1¢·4 fills
Talvez10Louisiana Tech$15.1K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
iDARKenjoyerArmy$15.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.