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Indiana vs. Rutgers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 30 minutesLiquidity: $197.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $10.9KEvent: Indiana vs. Rutgers
97.8¢
Indiana
2.3¢
Rutgers
1.3¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection89Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%
24h sample:4 trades$22.5K tracked25% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIndiana$19.9K@ 95¢·coinlaundry

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Indiana pressure: $20.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$20.0K
6h
+$22.5K
tracked
$22.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.3¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 90% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 37 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Indiana or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Indiana" if Indiana win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Rutgers" if Rutgers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Indiana and Rutgers, scheduled for October 3 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Indiana" if Indiana win the game. This market will resolve to "Rutgers" if Rutgers win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Indiana; negative values favor Rutgers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIndiana · $20.0K
6hIndiana · $22.5K
24hIndiana · $22.5K

Indiana price VWAP

Volume-weighted Indiana price. Rutgers fills are converted to the complementary Indiana probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current97.8¢
VWAP 24h94.9¢▲ above by 2.9pp
VWAP 7d94.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Indiana price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$20.0K
90¢
$2.6K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIndiana$19.9K@ 95.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

coinlaundryIndiana$22.5K
BUY VWAP 94.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.