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San Diego 2: Mitchell Krueger vs Sebastian Gorzny

Sports→Settlement: Sebastian GorznyLiquidity: $437.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $414.8KEvent: San Diego 2: Mitchell Krueger vs Sebastian Gorzny
0.0¢
Mitchell Krueger payout
100.0¢
Sebastian Gorzny payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:75 trades$172.5K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 11s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mitchell Krueger · $55.3K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$63.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSebastian Gorzny$47.9K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Sebastian Gorzny. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-29 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mitchell Krueger and Sebastian Gorzny in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mitchell Krueger' if Mitchell Krueger advances against Sebastian Gorzny. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Mitchell Krueger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mitchell Krueger@ 62.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +24.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Sebastian Gorzny2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Sebastian Gorzny@ 35.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h CONFIRMED +35.0pp
Latest book event: Mitchell Krueger DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $36 → $14 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mitchell Krueger; negative values favor Sebastian Gorzny. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMitchell Krueger · $85.3K
6hMitchell Krueger · $105.6K
24hMitchell Krueger · $105.6K

Mitchell Krueger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mitchell Krueger price. Sebastian Gorzny fills are converted to the complementary Mitchell Krueger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h31.1¢▼ below by 31.1pp
VWAP 7d31.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mitchell Krueger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$10
85¢
$392
80¢
$12.3K
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$1
65¢
$7.7K
60¢
$22.6K
55¢
$29.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$45
35¢
$9.2K
30¢
$229
25¢
$491
20¢
$5.7K
15¢
$6.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$76.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSebastian Gorzny$10.9K@ 99.9¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—24 minutes ago
SELLSebastian Gorzny$47.9K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYMitchell Krueger$16.3K@ 59.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSebastian Gorzny$15.7K@ 39.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Mitchell Krueger$56.0K
BUY VWAP 42.6¢·8 fills
kkookkooSebastian Gorzny$19.2K
BUY VWAP 40.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.