PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27?

Crypto→Settlement: UpLiquidity: $9.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $93.3KEvent: Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27?
100.0¢
Up payout
0.0¢
Down payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:28 trades$9.2K trackedsource coverage 10%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 89 min agoofficial metadata 63 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Up · $4.7K net·2 wallets·$4.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUp$2.8K@ 94¢·easyclap

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Up. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 27 '26 12:00 ET candle.

•This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 27 '26 12:00 ET candle.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Up UP 2.6pp · near-book depth $6.8K → $549 · 48s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Up; negative values favor Down. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUp · $155
6hUp · $5.8K
24hUp · $6.2K

Up price VWAP

Volume-weighted Up price. Down fills are converted to the complementary Up probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h90.5¢▲ above by 9.5pp
VWAP 7d90.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Up price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.2K
90¢
$4.7K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.4K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
4.5¢$392.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
2.9¢$339.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
6.5¢$235.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?
0.1¢$102.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
34.5¢$92.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
0.1¢$90.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
31.5¢$87.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
6.6¢$86.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.