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Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $31.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
42.5¢
Nuclear TigeRES
57.5¢
Eternal Fire
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution80Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority42Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%
24h sample:7 trades$27.9K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEternal Fire$21.9K@ 61¢·lllllllIlll

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Eternal Fire pressure: $1.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.2K
6h
−$20.9K
tracked
$27.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 100% · priority 42

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Eternal Fire or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 21:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES win the match against Eternal Fire.

•This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win the match against Nuclear TigeRES.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Nuclear TigeRES and Eternal Fire in the Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES win the match against Eternal Fire. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win the match against Nuclear TigeRES. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 10m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nuclear TigeRES; negative values favor Eternal Fire. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEternal Fire · $1.2K
6hEternal Fire · $20.9K
24hEternal Fire · $20.9K

Nuclear TigeRES price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nuclear TigeRES price. Eternal Fire fills are converted to the complementary Nuclear TigeRES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current42.5¢
VWAP 24h39.0¢▲ above by 3.5pp
VWAP 7d39.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nuclear TigeRES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$25
35¢
$27.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEternal Fire$21.9K@ 61.0¢
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

lllllllIlllEternal Fire$21.9K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.