PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone

Sports→Settlement: Harold MayotLiquidity: $492.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $456.2KEvent: St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone
100.0¢
Harold Mayot payout
0.0¢
Murphy Cassone payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:82 trades$214.1K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 45 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Harold Mayot · $6.2K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$49.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHarold Mayot$35.0K@ 100¢·xabidaking

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Harold Mayot. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-03 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Murphy Cassone in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Murphy Cassone. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Harold Mayot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Harold Mayot2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Harold Mayot@ 51.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Harold Mayot UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $370 → $12.6K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Harold Mayot; negative values favor Murphy Cassone. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMurphy Cassone · $43.2K
6hMurphy Cassone · $10.7K
24hMurphy Cassone · $10.7K

Harold Mayot price VWAP

Volume-weighted Harold Mayot price. Murphy Cassone fills are converted to the complementary Harold Mayot probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h77.1¢▲ above by 22.9pp
VWAP 7d77.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Harold Mayot price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$119.2K
90¢
$241
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$119
70¢
$2
65¢
$4.8K
60¢
$10.3K
55¢
$12.7K
50¢
$19.4K
45¢
$11.9K
40¢
$10.1K
35¢
$24.1K
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$45
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLHarold Mayot$35.0K@ 99.9¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLHarold Mayot$21.5K@ 99.9¢
bigbankmoney0x3f76…436a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHarold Mayot$19.8K@ 98.5¢0x004c…bb89🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHarold Mayot$12.4K@ 97.0¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHarold Mayot$18.4K@ 52.6¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLMurphy Cassone$10.0K@ 61.0¢
bigbankmoney0x3f76…436a
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
49.5¢$1.5Mpriority37Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
98.7¢$716.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
51.5¢$426.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will England win on 2026-09-26?
23.5¢$414.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo
59.5¢$396.8Kpriority73Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chiefs vs. Dolphins
84.5¢$365.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x004c…bb89Harold Mayot$19.8K
BUY VWAP 98.5¢·1 fill
xabidakingHarold Mayot$18.4K
BUY VWAP 52.6¢·1 fill
0x5fd2…afceHarold Mayot$12.4K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.