Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
100 Thieves pressure: $20.3K net directional flow in 1h.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 58% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 100 Thieves or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 2 against Astralis.
•This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against 100 Thieves.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and Astralis in the Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 2 against Astralis. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against 100 Thieves. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
100 Thieves price VWAP
Largest holders
100 Thieves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.