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Curitiba: Miguel Tobon vs Juan Bautista Torres

Sports→Settlement: Juan Bautista TorresLiquidity: $174.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $202.1KEvent: Curitiba: Miguel Tobon vs Juan Bautista Torres
0.0¢
Miguel Tobon payout
100.0¢
Juan Bautista Torres payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:42 trades$67.3K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 116 min agoofficial metadata 77 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Juan Bautista Torres · $21.9K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$27.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJuan Bautista Torres$21.0K@ 45¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Juan Bautista Torres. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Juan Bautista Torres in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Juan Bautista Torres. This market will resolve to 'Juan Bautista Torres' if Juan Bautista Torres advances against Miguel Tobon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Juan Bautista Torres2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Juan Bautista Torres@ 81.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +16.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Miguel Tobon3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Miguel Tobon@ 35.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -22.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Juan Bautista Torres DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $15.1K → $4.1K · 32s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miguel Tobon; negative values favor Juan Bautista Torres. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiguel Tobon · $4.4K
6hMiguel Tobon · $407
24hMiguel Tobon · $2.4K

Miguel Tobon price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miguel Tobon price. Juan Bautista Torres fills are converted to the complementary Miguel Tobon probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h44.9¢▼ below by 44.9pp
VWAP 7d44.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miguel Tobon price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$24.5K
50¢
$11.6K
45¢
$11.9K
40¢
$6.4K
35¢
$2.1K
30¢
$2.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$4.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$1.7K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$3.0K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJuan Bautista Torres$21.0K@ 45.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMiguel Tobon$11.6K@ 50.7¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Juan Bautista Torres$21.0K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
kkookkooMiguel Tobon$20.0K
BUY VWAP 48.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.