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China Open, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Valentin Royer

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $809.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $338.8KEvent: China Open, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Valentin Royer
60.5¢
Botic van de Zandschulp payout
39.5¢
Valentin Royer payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:117 trades$155.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 66 min agoofficial metadata 44 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Valentin Royer · $3.0K net·6 wallets·$5.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBotic van de Zandschulp$30.0K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 07:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Valentin Royer in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Valentin Royer. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 44m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 44m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Botic van de Zandschulp1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Botic van de Zandschulp@ 84.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Botic van de Zandschulp2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Valentin Royer@ 40.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -29.0pp
Latest book event: Botic van de Zandschulp UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $931 → $98 · 76s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Botic van de Zandschulp; negative values favor Valentin Royer. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hValentin Royer · $47.6K
6hValentin Royer · $13.1K
24hValentin Royer · $13.1K

Botic van de Zandschulp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Botic van de Zandschulp price. Valentin Royer fills are converted to the complementary Botic van de Zandschulp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current60.5¢
VWAP 24h75.0¢▼ below by 14.5pp
VWAP 7d75.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Botic van de Zandschulp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$51.7K
90¢
$3.3K
85¢
$2.7K
80¢
$14.6K
75¢
$69
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.1K
60¢
← now
$45.8K
55¢
$3.7K
50¢
$14.9K
45¢
$10.2K
40¢
$2.1K
35¢
$4.1K
30¢
$58
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBotic van de Zandschulp$30.0K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBotic van de Zandschulp$10.5K@ 99.9¢
RDXR0xc293…fac3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$13.9K@ 83.0¢
PlayD3320x796a…0365
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLValentin Royer$14.2K@ 35.6¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYValentin Royer$10.0K@ 51.8¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYValentin Royer$10.0K@ 49.0¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$14.9K@ 63.4¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AntblackValentin Royer$20.0K
BUY VWAP 50.4¢·2 fills
kkookkooBotic van de Zandschulp$18.9K
BUY VWAP 62.9¢·2 fills
PlayD332Botic van de Zandschulp$13.9K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.