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China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino

Sports→Settlement: Adrian MannarinoLiquidity: $877.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $716.9KEvent: China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino
0.0¢
Miomir Kecmanovic payout
100.0¢
Adrian Mannarino payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:198 trades$311.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 65 min agoofficial metadata 36 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adrian Mannarino · $7.9K net·16 wallets(1🐋)·$138.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMiomir Kecmanovic$58.5K@ 86¢·Antblack

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Adrian Mannarino. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Adrian Mannarino in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Adrian Mannarino1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Adrian Mannarino1h ago
Outcome checks pending
THESIS FLIPBUY Adrian Mannarino@ 84.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Adrian Mannarino@ 84.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Adrian Mannarino UP 15.5pp · near-book depth $86.6K → $733 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miomir Kecmanovic; negative values favor Adrian Mannarino. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdrian Mannarino · $66.1K
6hAdrian Mannarino · $18.7K
24hAdrian Mannarino · $20.1K

Miomir Kecmanovic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miomir Kecmanovic price. Adrian Mannarino fills are converted to the complementary Miomir Kecmanovic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h49.6¢▼ below by 49.6pp
VWAP 7d49.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miomir Kecmanovic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$500
90¢
$5.7K
85¢
$68.0K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$96
60¢
$5.7K
55¢
$33.3K
50¢
$20.4K
45¢
$64.1K
40¢
$7.9K
35¢
$25.9K
30¢
$13.3K
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$30.3K
15¢
$4.4K
10¢
$2.6K
5¢
$13.6K
0¢
← now
$13.7K

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAdrian Mannarino$13.2K@ 99.9¢
blket0xb5db…5800
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAdrian Mannarino$15.6K@ 80.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAdrian Mannarino$14.7K@ 80.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAdrian Mannarino$10.8K@ 65.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAdrian Mannarino$12.0K@ 91.0¢
blket0xb5db…5800
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLMiomir Kecmanovic$15.6K@ 49.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAdrian Mannarino$38.4K@ 52.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLMiomir Kecmanovic$58.5K@ 86.4¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMiomir Kecmanovic$12.0K@ 57.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMiomir Kecmanovic$10.0K@ 58.8¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYMiomir Kecmanovic$10.0K@ 57.0¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtAdrian Mannarino$38.4K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
AntblackMiomir Kecmanovic$37.2K
BUY VWAP 46.4¢·5 fills
fkcvffcjtMiomir Kecmanovic$24.1K
BUY VWAP 54.4¢·3 fills
0x076d…8d4cAdrian Mannarino$13.8K
BUY VWAP 63.3¢·2 fills
blketAdrian Mannarino$12.0K
BUY VWAP 91.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.