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Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)

● quote 44s ago
Sports→SoccerCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $12.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $58.5KEvent: Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets
3.0¢
Manchester City FC
97.0¢
Liverpool FC
0.9¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution74Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$27.3K trackedsource coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Liverpool FC · $27.1K net·2 wallets·$27.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLiverpool FC$4.2K@ 97¢·0F62

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Liverpool FC pressure: $9.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.5K
6h
−$9.5K
tracked
$27.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Liverpool FC · $27.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.9¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 35 minutes old.
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Liverpool FC or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 4 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Liverpool FC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for October 11 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Liverpool FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0F622 linked markets · $64.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Manchester City FC; negative values favor Liverpool FC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLiverpool FC · $9.5K
6hLiverpool FC · $9.5K
24hLiverpool FC · $27.1K

Manchester City FC price VWAP

Volume-weighted Manchester City FC price. Liverpool FC fills are converted to the complementary Manchester City FC probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.0¢
VWAP 24h2.6¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d2.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Manchester City FC price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$27.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0F62Liverpool FC$27.2K
BUY VWAP 97.4¢·13 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.