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LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $377.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $528.7KEvent: LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
0.1¢
LOUD
100.0¢
FURIA Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly44Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 20 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:244 trades$190.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LOUD · $14.2K net·20 wallets(1🐋)·$42.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFURIA Esports$21.7K@ 100¢·depresssin

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

LOUD pressure: $2.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.5K
6h
+$43.8K
tracked
$190.3K

20 verified profitable wallets: LOUD · $14.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +0.2pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 28 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LOUD or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Game 2 against FURIA Esports.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 2 against LOUD.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between LOUD and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Game 2 against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 2 against LOUD. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h3 linked markets · $54.8K gross
0xcf60…a6f53 linked markets · $47.9K gross
five51203 linked markets · $43.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY FURIA Esports@ 99.8¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: FURIA Esports UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $706 → $471 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LOUD; negative values favor FURIA Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLOUD · $2.5K
6hLOUD · $43.8K
24hLOUD · $43.8K

LOUD price VWAP

Volume-weighted LOUD price. FURIA Esports fills are converted to the complementary LOUD probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h20.7¢▼ below by 20.7pp
VWAP 7d20.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

LOUD price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$3
80¢
$460
75¢
$3.3K
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.3K
60¢
$2.8K
55¢
$1.3K
50¢
$15.3K
45¢
$34.4K
40¢
$15.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$3.4K
5¢
$3.5K
0¢
← now
$107.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFURIA Esports$20.7K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFURIA Esports$21.7K@ 99.9¢
depresssin0xcc77…c035
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLFURIA Esports$10.7K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFURIA Esports$11.1K@ 99.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFURIA Esports$10.8K@ 52.0¢
IMAREALPERSON0x8c0b…7aa5
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

depresssinFURIA Esports$21.7K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0xf201…527eLOUD$15.5K
BUY VWAP 41.1¢·8 fills
IMAREALPERSONFURIA Esports$13.8K
BUY VWAP 51.1¢·2 fills
5e46hFURIA Esports$11.1K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.