PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina Charaeva

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $57.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $518.8KEvent: China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina Charaeva
6.6¢
Yulia Starodubtseva
99.9¢
Alina Charaeva
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:122 trades$179.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 46 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alina Charaeva · $7.0K net·12 wallets·$71.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYulia Starodubtseva$59.3K@ 78¢·Kev69

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Yulia Starodubtseva pressure: $16.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$16.1K
6h
+$68.4K
tracked
$179.4K

12 verified profitable wallets: Alina Charaeva · $7.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -85.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 46 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Yulia Starodubtseva or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Starodubtseva and Alina Charaeva in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Starodubtseva' if Yulia Starodubtseva advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Yulia Starodubtseva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Yulia Starodubtseva@ 86.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -40.0pp
Latest book event: Yulia Starodubtseva DOWN 5.2pp · near-book depth $2.4K → $1 · 67s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yulia Starodubtseva; negative values favor Alina Charaeva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYulia Starodubtseva · $16.1K
6hYulia Starodubtseva · $68.4K
24hYulia Starodubtseva · $68.4K

Yulia Starodubtseva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yulia Starodubtseva price. Alina Charaeva fills are converted to the complementary Yulia Starodubtseva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current6.6¢
VWAP 24h50.4¢▼ below by 43.8pp
VWAP 7d50.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Yulia Starodubtseva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$7.4K
80¢
$43
75¢
$71.3K
70¢
$202
65¢
$24.5K
60¢
$2
55¢
$511
50¢
$7
45¢
$7.2K
40¢
$62
35¢
$3.9K
30¢
$1.4K
25¢
$2.5K
20¢
$7.1K
15¢
$10.7K
10¢
$8.2K
5¢
← now
$17.9K
0¢
$16.3K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlina Charaeva$15.9K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYulia Starodubtseva$59.3K@ 77.7¢
Kev690x1250…8f99
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
China Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo
0.1¢$625.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$445.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?
67.5¢$401.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina
49.0¢$300.8Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Kev69Yulia Starodubtseva$59.3K
BUY VWAP 77.7¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardAlina Charaeva$22.1K
BUY VWAP 49.7¢·7 fills
HomeRunHazardYulia Starodubtseva$17.0K
BUY VWAP 59.9¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesAlina Charaeva$11.6K
BUY VWAP 58.9¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.