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China Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo

Sports→Settlement: Francisco CerundoloLiquidity: $727.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $652.3KEvent: China Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo
0.0¢
Botic van de Zandschulp payout
100.0¢
Francisco Cerundolo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:115 trades$153.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 22 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Botic van de Zandschulp · $33.1K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$112.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$15.1K@ 75¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Francisco Cerundolo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-08 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Francisco Cerundolo in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPSELL Botic van de Zandschulp@ 12.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Botic van de Zandschulp1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Botic van de Zandschulp1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Botic van de Zandschulp@ 21.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Botic van de Zandschulp DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $9.4K → $13 · 10s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Botic van de Zandschulp; negative values favor Francisco Cerundolo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBotic van de Zandschulp · $14.1K
6hBotic van de Zandschulp · $49.9K
24hBotic van de Zandschulp · $49.9K

Botic van de Zandschulp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Botic van de Zandschulp price. Francisco Cerundolo fills are converted to the complementary Botic van de Zandschulp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h34.4¢▼ below by 34.4pp
VWAP 7d34.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Botic van de Zandschulp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$24.3K
70¢
$9.8K
65¢
$1.3K
60¢
$200
55¢
$1.9K
50¢
$12.4K
45¢
$10.8K
40¢
$11
35¢
$19
30¢
$563
25¢
$20.9K
20¢
$9.0K
15¢
$18.4K
10¢
$16.1K
5¢
$3.5K
0¢
← now
$24.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$12.0K@ 16.9¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$15.1K@ 75.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Botic van de Zandschulp$63.5K
BUY VWAP 24.3¢·14 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.